I am a writer and media weather observer, but not an actual forecaster or meteorologist. In the last decade, it seems to me that weather has become a bigger topic in the media, often being used as the lead "tease" to kick off the news. As a result, I've often wondered if forecasters feel the ratings pressure and, wittingly or unwittingly, tend toward the spectacular in presenting their forecasts. Beyond that, I've always been interested in determining which weather forecasters are more accurate than others and, ultimately, in grading their performance. This is a vehicle through which I hope to do that.
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